Last updated · MapElevation
Explore a sea-level scenario
A sea level rise map can make a complex question look deceptively simple: raise a water level, color the low terrain, and look for a house. The result is useful only if you understand what the model actually does. This first demonstration is intentionally bounded to a Miami Beach coastal window. You can choose an illustrative water level and run the calculation, then inspect the resulting layer over the ordinary map.
Address search and point selection still provide an address elevation finder or general elevation map context outside that window. They do not extend the demonstration to a new place automatically. If your question is what is my altitude above sea level, that guide explains the surface reference before you interpret a water scenario.
How to use this page
- Choose an illustrative water level for the bounded Miami Beach demonstration.
- Run the scenario and wait for terrain loading and the connectivity calculation.
- Read the blue layer with the baseline, grid, and omitted-process warnings.
- Use appropriate local official data for an actual coastal property question.
How the connected-inundation model works
The browser loads a bounded set of terrain tiles, samples them onto a coarser calculation grid, and starts from a fixed point in the Atlantic Ocean east of Miami Beach. It follows neighbouring grid cells only when their sampled elevation is no higher than the selected scenario level. Cells reached from the ocean seed become the blue layer. The calculation runs after you request it and reports loading, failure, or completion rather than showing an unexplained blank overlay.
The baseline assumes zero in the DEM’s geoid reference. It does not apply a validated local tidal-datum conversion. NOAA VDatum explains why supported reference transformations have a specific geographic and methodological context. The chosen level is therefore an illustrative water-surface threshold, not a certified increase above the local mean high-water surface.
Why inland depressions are different
Being low is not the same as being connected to the ocean. A depression can sit below a reference elevation while intervening land prevents a continuous surface-water path. A simple threshold that shades every low cell would ignore that distinction. This demonstration adds a connectivity test so that an isolated low cell does not become ocean-connected merely because its number is small.
Connectivity in a grid is still an approximation. The calculation window has an edge, and cells represent samples rather than every channel or barrier. A narrow connection may be lost, while a narrow obstruction may be missed. Neither a connected result nor a dry-looking gap should be interpreted as a site-level conclusion without more suitable local data and validation.
What the map leaves out
This is a static connected-water illustration. It does not simulate tides moving through time, storm surge, waves, erosion, drainage operations, subsidence, or the reliability of flood-protection infrastructure. The current source is a surface model, so structures and vegetation can affect the represented surface. A coarser calculation grid introduces additional simplification beyond the original dataset spacing.
NOAA’s Sea Level Rise Viewer is an official resource for exploring coastal information and its documented assumptions. It is a separate product, not the engine behind this demonstration. For mapped US flood designations, use flood zone by address and the flood zone codes guide instead of interpreting this layer as a FEMA boundary.
Why this is not a forecast for a particular year
A level selected in a dropdown does not identify when that level will occur, how likely it is, or which local relative-sea-level pathway applies. Assigning a calendar year would require a projection source, scenario, location, baseline, and uncertainty treatment. This tool does not manufacture those inputs from a terrain tile. It also does not infer an insurance recommendation from whether a selected map point looks blue.
A reproducible demonstration record should include the selected level, terrain window, calculation grid, offshore seed, dataset, and baseline assumption. Area estimates and property-specific conclusions remain pending validation and are not published as example numbers. Read elevation data accuracy for current coverage, model limitations, and the difference between source resolution and vertical certainty.
Data sources and accuracy
Elevation estimates currently use Copernicus GLO-30, a digital surface model (DSM), sampled from Mapterhorn terrain tiles at zoom 12. Original resolution is approximately 30 metres: our Grade C. Buildings, trees, location errors, and the source vertical reference affect interpretation. A grid resolution is not a vertical error guarantee. The reference is the EGM2008 geoid; a reading must not be subtracted from a FEMA flood elevation in another datum.
Read about elevation data accuracy, source-specific limitations, and our current regional coverage.
Terrain licence and attribution
produced using Copernicus WorldDEM-30 © DLR e.V. 2010-2014 and © Airbus Defence and Space GmbH 2014-2018 provided under COPERNICUS by the European Union and ESA; all rights reserved
Frequently asked questions
Will my address flood if sea level rises?
This tool cannot establish that for a property. It provides a bounded illustrative coastal scenario and surface-elevation context. A property assessment needs appropriate terrain, water references, barriers, drainage, and other local information. Searching an address elsewhere does not create a validated inundation result for it.
What does the blue overlay mean?
It marks sampled grid cells that are no higher than the chosen illustrative water level and connected through neighbouring qualifying cells to the demonstration’s fixed offshore seed. It is a model output under stated assumptions, not an observation of flooding or an official hazard boundary.
Why are some low areas not shaded?
A low cell must also be connected to the designated ocean seed through cells that meet the threshold. An isolated depression is not automatically flooded by this method. The result still depends on the window, grid spacing, terrain quality, and omitted barriers or drainage structures.
Is the selected level a prediction for 2050 or 2100?
No. The level is a user-selected scenario, with an assumed baseline in the DEM reference. This version does not associate it with a year, emissions scenario, local relative-sea-level projection, or probability. A date-specific question needs an appropriate official projection and its uncertainty.
Does it include seawalls, levees, tides, or storm surge?
The first demonstration does not model protective infrastructure, tidal dynamics, storm surge, erosion, subsidence, or drainage operations. A coarse DSM may also misrepresent narrow features. These omissions can materially change local interpretation, so the overlay cannot be used as a design or evacuation map.
Why is the demonstration limited to Miami Beach?
The initial version uses a fixed bounded terrain window and an identified Atlantic Ocean seed so that connectivity is explicit. Extending it responsibly requires appropriate ocean masks, vertical-reference treatment, coverage checks, and validation. Ordinary elevation lookup remains available elsewhere without silently pretending those requirements have been met.